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South Africa’s Youth Eye the Exit: Brain Drain Gathers Steam

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Frustrated by job scarcity and dim future prospects, young professionals prepare to leave

The dream of a better life is no longer just a hope for many young South Africans, it’s becoming a packed suitcase.

A new emigration warning is flashing red, as nearly half of South Africa’s young, educated middle-class say they’re likely or very likely to emigrate in the next five years. That’s according to BrandMapp’s latest survey of 30,000 economically active adults, released during Youth Month in June.

It’s not just talk. Passports are ready. Lifestyles are shifting. And while South Africa faces staggering youth unemployment and crumbling infrastructure, the country also risks losing the very generation that could drive its recovery.

Flight of the Future: Who’s Leaving and Why?

The numbers are startling: 49% of young middle-class South Africans (aged 18–35) say they’re seriously considering emigration, almost double the rate of older adults (26%).

These are not just daydreams of greener pastures. Many young professionals are actively shaping their lives around mobility.

“They’re not buying homes. They’re not financing cars. They’re renting, streaming, and Ubering their way into a lifestyle of flexibility,” explains Ashleigh Cumming, youth strategist at WhyFive, the research firm behind BrandMapp.

This preference for flexibility over permanence feeds into a broader desire: the freedom to move countries, change careers, and build a life elsewhere.

The fact that 77% of this mobile, youth consumer class is Black also points to an uncomfortable truth: even amid signs of economic transformation, faith in the future of the country is thin.

Only 37% of these upwardly mobile young people feel optimistic about South Africa’s future. A greater share—41%—are outright uncertain.

Brain Drain Building Momentum

This isn’t just a youth trend, it’s a full-blown brain drain. Other research echoes the same concern.

The Inclusive Society Institute (ISI) found that a staggering 79.5% of young adults were ready to emigrate. Among the youngest (ages 18–24), that figure climbed to 84%.

Their reasons? A familiar trifecta:

  • Better job prospects (23%)

  • Improved standard of living (10%)

  • Wider career opportunities (10%)

But under the surface lies a deeper worry: South Africa’s perceived decline as a functioning state.

Concerns around collapsing infrastructure, failing service delivery, and high unemployment (especially among the educated) are pushing people away. Among those earning higher incomes or holding degrees, over 10% say they could leave within a year and that number is rising.

Where Are They Going?

According to UN migrant stock data, over 1 million South Africans now live abroad. In just the past four years, another 107,000 left mostly skilled workers and professionals.

Here’s where they went:

  • United States: 31,962

  • New Zealand: 19,345

  • UK: 12,745

  • Australia: 12,453

  • Netherlands: 10,693

These are not the destinations of desperation, they’re countries actively recruiting the skilled and the ambitious. And South Africa’s best and brightest are answering the call.

What This Means for SA

The risk here isn’t just economic, it’s existential. A nation’s youth is its future. But as long as career stagnation, load shedding, and governance failures dominate headlines, the message to young people is clear: There’s no space for you here.

Unless something shifts, structurally, economically, and politically South Africa could face a long-term erosion of talent, energy, and innovation.

And that’s a cost no economy, no democracy, can afford.

{Source: BusinessTech}

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