Understanding the Temporary Avocado Supply Glitch in South Africa: What Consumers Need to Know

Recently, South African consumers have noticed a shortage of avocados at major retailers like Woolworths, sparking concerns about supply stability. However, the Agricultural Business Chamber of South Africa (Agbiz) has reassured consumers that this supply glitch is merely a temporary inconvenience rather than a cause for alarm.

The Seasonal Nature of Avocado Supply

Wandile Sihlobo, chief economist at Agbiz, emphasizes that the avocado season in South Africa runs from February to September. As a result, it is expected that supplies will be lower during this time of year. “We were bound to have lower supplies around this time,” Sihlobo explains.

In addition to seasonal factors, South Africa exported a significant volume of avocados in 2024 due to strong global demand, which has further tightened domestic supplies. However, Sihlobo is optimistic, stating, “We could see supplies improving next month and prices moderating.”

A Growing Avocado Industry

South Africa boasts a diversified avocado industry, with production spread across various regions that have different yielding periods. The country produces over 120,000 tonnes of avocados annually, a figure that has notably increased over the past few decades due to expanded plantings driven by strong local and global demand.

Sihlobo points out that the avocado produce is intended for both domestic consumption and export markets. “We generally export about half of the harvest,” he notes, highlighting key export destinations such as the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, Russia, Germany, Spain, and the United Arab Emirates.

Balancing Domestic and Export Markets

While the export drive is crucial for the industry’s long-term profitability, Sihlobo stresses that it does not come at the expense of the domestic market. “There are generally sufficient supplies for the local market,” he reassures consumers. He adds that not every year sees tight supplies, and the recent export success is a positive sign for the industry.

“Plenty of trees still have yet to bear fruit in this country, and the local market will not absorb them. For that, we need export markets,” Sihlobo concludes, emphasizing the importance of diversifying export opportunities to support the avocado industry’s growth.

In summary, while the current avocado supply glitch in South Africa may cause some inconvenience for consumers, it is a temporary situation influenced by seasonal cycles and strong export demand. With the promise of improved supplies in the coming weeks, consumers can rest assured that the avocado market remains robust and poised for growth.

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